Statement of Belief
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Some of us have heard Senator-Elect Malcolm Roberts using the word ‘Empirical’ on numerous occasions.
Last night a whole lot more got to hear him use the word many times during the ABC show, Q&A.
Just what does the word mean and why is it at odds with much of what most scientists say and believe?
The Oxford Online Dictionary has the following definition.
So what Roberts is saying is that you cannot predict anything. If you see something happen and cause an outcome then you can explain it but you cannot use that event to conclude that should the same thing happen again that the outcome will be the same.
So scientists should never predict what MAY happen as a result of certain current conditions.
In Malcolm Roberts’ world anything to do with climate change is unprovable and so should be ignored because it relies on another long word.
In the Malcolm Roberts Universe it seems that any extrapolation is badly unscientific. I won’t insult my readers by quoting examples where we extrapolate outcomes from current data every day. In life or death situations which we simply take for granted. Tried crossing a busy street between traffic lately?
Malcolm, your repetitive use of the word ‘Empirical’ does not show you to be a knowledgeable scientist.
I note that your degree is in Engineering. Applied Science. The lesser brother of Theoretical Science. Yes, you can build stuff, you can play with Meccano with impeccable skill. Yet you have not learnt the skills that are Science. You have not developed a theory from repeated and repeatable experiments. You seem to show little understanding of that essential scientific method.
Every scientific theory relies on extrapolation.
A scientific theory is not something dreamed up at 2am by a group of bored people. It is an explanation garnered from empirical evidence discovered through experimentation, extrapolated within the theory to a predictable outcome then discussed, torn to pieces and accepted or rejected on the evidence and on the logic by others who also know the subject. That is what peer review is all about. Yes, theories do change around the edges but once accepted they are surprisingly robust. Even Newton’s three Laws of Thermodynamics still hold despite the tinkering Einstein provided with his theory of relativity.
I’m sorry, Malcolm, you do not convince anyone with any knowledge of science.
You are just a passing thorn in the side of progress.
As the name of this series indicates it is a summary of published polls within Australia.
Since the Double Dissolution Election of July 2nd there has been a dearth of polls. Even the final official numbers from the Electoral Commission have not been released. Not that this is a problem or anything new. The official end of the count is always five weeks after the election. The difference this time is that it is a very close result and in a time of instant gratification, there is an impatience. The main new effect of this apparent slowness is a sudden push by some background groups to change to an electronic system. This idea has been taken up by a vocal group of cyber-savvy supporters. This is despite the fear of hacking in almost every other area of cyber-space. The question should be; ‘Who creates the software and who would benefit from being able to play with the electrons and the consequent organised election result?’
The only company continuing to poll is Essential Vision. Since the election they have released four polls. Just giving the 2pp numbers is sufficient until a true Poll Sum can be resumed.
5th July – L-NP 50% ALP 50%
12th July – L-NP 49% ALP 51%
19th July – L-NP 49% ALP 51%
26th July – L-NP 48% ALP 52%
The ‘Mediscare’ is finally sinking in as being based in horrible, grotesque fact and the general public has realised that $50Billion being given to overseas multinationals will not create one job in Australia and will do nothing to promote growth in Australia.
Interestingly, the National Vote according to the AEC has swung Left again. It was out to around 50.37 to the LINO’s (Liberals In Name Only) when there were 80% of electors counted. It is now almost back where Poll Sum had the numbers three days before the election. That is on 84.19% of electors counted – it will rise to around 90%
|Australian Labor Party||6,225,927||49.89||+3.38|
Malcolm Turnbull was able to fluke an election win on the day yet appears to have continued to lose popularity. How long will he last as leader?
How long will this dysfunctional Government last in a fractured Parliament?