Statement of Belief
Poll TimeNo poll at the moment - a new one will appear soon.
Screams from the Stalls
My guests have made
- 1,188,394 gentle footfalls
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I couldn’t find a lot of Street Art in Midland until I spotted this wall in front of a potential building site.
It went on and on and on and on and on – – –
You Are Orange Soda
You are a friendly, happy, and bubbly personality. You are still a kid at heart, and you approach life with openness.
You love to have fun, and you see each day as an adventure. You can’t get too down when there are so many possibilities in the world.
You are bright and mentally sharp. You always see the world in vivid colors and experience emotions strongly.
You are a bit of a wild child and you never take the normal path in life. You’re always looking for something a little more zany!
THIS TWO WEEK PERIOD
A total of 9,818 voters were polled. Which is around 1 voter in 1400.
Make of that what you will.
Five polls, Essential 10/6, Ipsos 15/06, Morgan 15/06, Newspoll 15/06,
Essential 16/06 were deleted
Three polls, Reachtel 25/06, Morgan 29/06, Essential 30/06 were added.
Percentages converted back to Raw Numbers
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled.
Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,097,100 Votes
ALP 7,902,900 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
A miniscule swing this week. the L-NP picked up just under 10,000 votes Australia wide.
One of the numbers the true wonks look at is the Primary vote given to the majors.
Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.
The minor parties and the “others” will have a major impact come election day.
Here is how they are going.
Whenever I see a poll it is my habit to add the ALP and Green votes together.
The Left remains the Left even though it is now in two parts.
At the moment the other Left Parties are lumped in “Others” so I cannot count them.
Anyway, here is what that addition of ALP + Greens looks like this week.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
The numbers appear to be stalled at the moment. Until Murdoch-Mania strikes as we are led into an early election. Then the 5% differential will shrink. I am tipping a very narrow ALP-Greens victory and a Left-wing Coalition as the outcome.
That could easily change to a disastrous result for Australia.
The Greens have passed the 12% line and seem to be headed further up the polling charts yet may only gain two or three seats in the Lower House. This makes a mockery of the Nationals Gerrymander.
Over to you, the discerning reader.
I finally got back there to see the final product.