Street Art


On the corner of Harold and Beaufort Streets

someone went ballistic with the paint cans.

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What Subway Sub Are You?


WRONG!!!

I am a Club Sub person.

With extra olives!


You Are the Steak and Cheese Sub

You are a bold person when it comes to the decisions you make – even sandwich decisions. You don’t do anything halfway, and you just go for it.You aren’t a very anxious person, even when things aren’t going your way. You put your trust in the universe, and it usually all works out in the end.

Poll Sum; 5th August, 2015


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POLL SUMMARY

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THIS TWO WEEK PERIOD

A total of 10,123 voters were polled.

Two Polls, Galaxy 20/07, Essential 21/07 were deleted

Two polls, Reachtel 31/07/07, Essential 4/08 were added.

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Percentages converted back to Raw Numbers

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled.

Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

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Note:- Galaxy/Newspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.

Two Party Preferred poll05c

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Translating this into electoral numbers,

assuming 15 million electors

we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP 7,000,800 Votes

ALP 7,999,200 Votes

Which leads to – – –

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

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A difference of

6.656% or

998,400 voters.

This week sees a shift in numbers back to numbers not seen since April.

. A lead of very nearly a million voters.

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PRIMARY VOTE

One of the numbers the true wonks look at is the Primary vote given to the majors.

Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.

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MINOR PARTIES

The minor parties and the “others” will have a major impact come election day.

Here is how they are going.

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Whenever I see a poll it is my habit to add the ALP and Green votes together.

The Left remains the Left even though it is now in two parts.

At the moment the other Left Parties are lumped in “Others” so I cannot count them.

Anyway, here is what that addition of ALP + Greens looks like this week.poll05g

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The idea behind the Poll Summary was to show what all those abstract percentages mean in terms of numbers of people.

Perhaps that is best shown by the numbers of people voting for each of the four (YES! FOUR!) major parties. The number for the Nationals is set at 4% of the electorate as this is the approximate number of voters they attract at each election.

poll05iThe Nats continue on with their gerrymandered 600,000 votes and with their blind acceptance of everything “Liberal”.

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POLLING SOURCES

For this postipsosessential poll morgan pollgalaxy pollpollreachtel

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POINTS FOR DISCUSSION

1:

The saga of the Speaker and her rorts came to a head on Sunday. After the Reachtel poll but before the smaller two-weeks-combined Essential poll.

So there is not a lot of Speaker-generated change this week. In fact, I have a feeling there may have been a poll or two which were delayed so that the Government could breathe just a little easier.

So most of those 40,000+ voters who swung right to left did so for reasons other than Bronny. Our prime minister should be very very worried. Malcolm will be plotting in his bus seat while Scott will be keeping all his “on-caucus” matters top secret!

2:

The Greens have bounced up over the 13% mark for the first time in this series. That is over one vote in eight and heading towards one vote in seven. At this rate they could reach 20% by the 2020 election. Which would take the ALP down to around 30%. Now there is an interesting thought.

And don’t even look at what the numbers could be in 2023!

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Over to you, the discerning reader.

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Sid and Sod #715


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It Tickled Granny’s Fancy


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Australian Women’s Weekly 4th Aug, 1945

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Bronwyn’s Real Flying Costs


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Street Art


In Beaufort Street I found a whole new world of Street Art.

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