Australian Elections of a Lesser Kind.

We have had two highly publicised elections this weekend. There was a much less noticeable one in WA for Colin Barnett’s seat of Cottesloe, won, as expected by the Liberals.

There was the South Australian election. Lost by the ALP after 16 years in office. Now that could be seen as a HUGE win for the Coalition and a HUGE slap in the face for Bill Shorten. Possibly some may see it as a slap down of long term Premier Jay Weatherill. In reality, the exact result was predicted after the compulsory post-election redistribution. Four ALP seats would be won by the Coalition.

Forget the hype and froth and bubble of the past couple of years, the Libs were going to win four seats and they did. Not because of anything the ALP did or didn’t do but because the State has a compulsory redistribution after every election. This includes a ‘Fairness Clause’. Those doing this gerrymander must take into account the result of the previous election and vary seats and seat sizes so as to even up the number of seats won. Last election the Libs lost on number of seats but won 53% of the vote. The redistribution had to balance that out. It did, the pundits saw what it had done and called this election three and a half years ago!

That was why the ALP increased its vote but lost the election.

It had nothing to do with Bill Shorten’s announcement about Franking Credits.

Had that announcement had a political impact we would have seen it in what was supposed to be the much closer election in Batman.

Instead, the Federal seat was won with an increased majority and really wasn’t that close at all. It seems the Kill Bill plan of the IPA/Liberal backrooms is not quite going to plan. Every time they think they have a winning strategy, Bill sails though it unscathed.

Allegedly, the great Chinese General, Sun Tzu, wrote something to the effect of not interrupting your enemy while he is making a mistake. Shorten is constantly criticised for not doing anything to drag the Coalition down. Yet why would he want to? With one Liberal PM deposed for losing 30 Newspolls in a row, and another about to reach the same landmark, it seems the Liberals are doing Bill’s work for him.

Instead, Bill is presenting policies. New policies. Not always apparently popular policies because the media, plaything of the big end of town, are going to be hurt. The fact that the average man in the street will benefit is never going to be publicised. Just the standard ‘Kill Bill’ tripe we have all become used to. Sadly, some members of the ALP have been taken in by this twaddle.

The success in Batman shows that the Shorten strategy is working!

One response to “Australian Elections of a Lesser Kind.

  1. Archie you should write more articles. I miss your analysis of the polls.

    Liked by 1 person

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