Poll Sum; 15th June 2016

DDpoll1

 

poll15h

redblue

header2

Reachtel 27/05, Ipsos 20/05, Morgan 30/05 and Essential 31/05 were deleted.

poll15aReachtel 9/06 and Essential 15/06 were added

redblue

%ages changed to Raw Numbers

poll15b

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

redblue

Two Party Preferred

poll15c

2PP History

poll15dTranslating this into electoral numbers,

assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP 7,458,150 Votes

ALP 7,541,850 Votes

Which leads to – – –

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

poll15daA difference of

0.558% or 83,700 voters.

Another increase of voters for the Right. This time of some 80,000 voters.

redblue

PRIMARY VOTE

poll15e

Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.

The question is rapidly becoming, ‘Can the Coalition win with a Primary number beginning with ‘3’?

“MINOR” PARTIES

poll15fEssential, Ipsos and Morgan are now both showing numbers for NXT so I have added it. At the moment, for charting purposes, I am giving NXT 4% if a poll doesn’t include it and removing 4% from “Others”.

redblue

POLLING SOURCES

ipsosessential poll morgan pollgalaxy pollpollreachtel

redblue

points for discussion.

1:

All the polls are drifting to a 50-50 position. Not good enough for an ALP win.

2:

As expected, we are seeing terrorist arrests in Sydney and Melbourne. The Abbott Police Force is doing its job well. It is all so transparent, so predictable.

3:

Heard of ‘Parakeelia’ yet? If you only read the Main Stream Media, you won’t. The biggest scandal in Australian political history and it is being swept under the carpet by the Rupert Press.

redblue

PUBLISHED ON WEDNESDAY MORNING
BECAUSE ESSENTIAL TOOK THE MONDAY HOLIDAY AND SO ARE 24 HOURS LATE.

 

Over to you, the discerning reader.

 

 

 

 

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s