Reachtel 6/05, Galaxy 7/05, Ipsos 8/05, GNewspoll 8/05 and Essential 10/05 were added.
I’m not sure how Galaxy was resurrected. Morgan also did a quick phone poll after the Budget in Reply but it was only single question, under 900 repondents and the only detail given was 51% LNP, 49% ALP. I have ignored it.
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,403,850 Votes
ALP 7,596,150 Votes
Which leads to – – –
A difference of
1.282% or 192,300 voters.
Not a very satisfying result but we have had Turnbull at his most reportable with a budget framed to suit Uncle Rupert and the chance to act Prime Ministerial by calling the DD.
In all respects, a very small post-budget bounce.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
The first couple of days of a very long campaign have passed. It is too early to judge what will happen although all the pundits are saying the ALP will need a 2pp of 52% to win Government in their own right.
The next game will be to judge just when the Push Polling will begin.
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Over to you, the discerning reader.