Reachtel 15/04, Ipsos 17/04, GNewspoll 17/04 Morgan 18/04 Essential 19/04 were dropped
Morgan 2/05 and Essential 3/05 were added
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,268,700 Votes
ALP 7,731,300 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
3.084% or 462,600 voters.
The trend continues.
Consider where the numbers were three months ago!
Next week we will be inundated with post-budget polls.
This shows the L_NP to be down 3.5% from the 2013 election, the ALP up by 2.5% and the Greens up by 3.5%
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
I think you just need to look at the acceleration of the trend to realise just how much help Turnbull is going to need from Uncle Rupert. Which raises the question, “Does Uncle Rupert like and trust Malcolm”
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Over to you, the discerning reader.