Essential 27/04 was added
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,436,250 Votes
ALP 7,563,750 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
0.85% or 127,500 voters.
The trend continues.
Consider where the numbers were three months ago!
Next week we will be inundated with post-budget polls.
Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.
This shows the L_NP to be down 3.5% from the 2013 election, the ALP up by 2.5% and the Greens up by 3.5%
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
While those who have been following Poll Sum and Poll Bludger will have noticed the trend back to the Left, many voters have not. Their background impression of the political landscape has yet to catch up with reality. Here is what the Essential Poll of today found about the electorate’s opinion of the likely winner on July 2nd.
PUBLISHED ON TUESDAY EVENING
TO BE AVAILABLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
Over to you, the discerning reader.