Essential 12/04 was added
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
PUP has been polling so low that it has been dropped.
As soon as more than just Morgan begin polling KAT and NXT then I can include their apparent 0.5% and 4.5% respectively. NXT is showing 22% in SA.
As it is, the eponymous parties are boosting “Others”.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,609,800 Votes
ALP 7,390,200 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
-1.464 % or 219,600 voters.
Almost exactly the same as last week.
I will be surprised if it is the same next week. I’m expecting an Ipsos poll on Thursday, a Gnewspoll on Sunday or Monday night and a Morgan next Monday.
At the moment only Morgan is separating the Xenophon Vanity Party out from “Others” and with Ipsos and Morgan recording PUP as a “zero” this poll, the NXP rally needs a spot of its own. Once another Poll lists NXP by itself, I can give it a column. According to Morgan, the NXP lost around 1% this week. Down to 4% Nationwide.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
With Essential being the only poll out this past seven days, I will give a little space to comparisons of the two leaders. These questions were last asked a month ago so that is the time scale for the changes.
Turnbull 39% (-6) for, 39% (+4) against
Shorten 30% (+3) For, 44% (-3) against
Best PM –
Turnbull 44% (-4)
Shorten 22% (+3)
Undecided 35% (+1)
This is the seventh poll in a row from Essential showing a 50-50 result.
The last time there was a difference was Feb 23rd when it was 52% to the Coalition.
PUBLISHED ON TUESDAY EVENING
TO BE AVAILABLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
Over to you, the discerning reader.