Ipsos 12/03 and Essential 15/03 were dropped
Reachtel 22/03 and Essential 30/03 were added
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Note:- GNewspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,590,450 Votes
ALP 7,409,550 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
-1.206 % or 180,900 voters.
A small swing of about 36,000 back right.
At the moment only Morgan is separating the Xenophon Vanity Party out from “Others” and with Ipsos and Morgan recording PUP as a “zero” this poll, the NXP rally needs a spot of its own. Once another Poll lists NXP by itself, I can give it a column. According to Morgan, the NXP lost around 1% this week. Down to 4% Nationwide.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
With a budget which will be either very unpopular or very silly, Malcolm has got his hands full holding on to a pretence of leadership.
PUBLISHED ON TUESDAY EVENING
TO BE AVAILABLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
EXCEPTING EASTER GOT IN THE WAY THIS WEEK
AND SO ESSENTIAL WAS LATE.
SO I AM LATE AS WELL
Over to you, the discerning reader.