POLL SUMMARY
Ipsos 12/03 and Essential 15/03 were dropped
Reachtel 22/03 and Essential 30/03 were added
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Note:- GNewspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.
Two Party Preferred
2PP History

Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,590,450 Votes
ALP 7,409,550 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
-1.206 % or 180,900 voters.
A small swing of about 36,000 back right.
PRIMARY VOTE
Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.
“MINOR” PARTIES
At the moment only Morgan is separating the Xenophon Vanity Party out from “Others” and with Ipsos and Morgan recording PUP as a “zero” this poll, the NXP rally needs a spot of its own. Once another Poll lists NXP by itself, I can give it a column. According to Morgan, the NXP lost around 1% this week. Down to 4% Nationwide.
POLLING SOURCES
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
1:
With a budget which will be either very unpopular or very silly, Malcolm has got his hands full holding on to a pretence of leadership.
PUBLISHED ON TUESDAY EVENING
TO BE AVAILABLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
EXCEPTING EASTER GOT IN THE WAY THIS WEEK
AND SO ESSENTIAL WAS LATE.
SO I AM LATE AS WELL
Over to you, the discerning reader.
Reblogged this on polyfeministix and commented:
This week’s poll sum by the always wonderful Archie.
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So people had a sugar hit and decided a lieberal vote was better, well, a few thousand did. Why doesnt the ALP get traction in the media? One word… Murdoch.
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The states tax scheme is out of the bag seems it wont be fair for lots of states..will have to check back next time I believe that will cause a left swing!
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Yes Owen, I think so to. Typical Malcolm brainfart… “only Labor will put up taxes? yeah right!
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