Essential 1/03/was added.
A total of 7676 voters were polled.
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Note:- GNewspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,691,400 Votes
ALP 7,308,600 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
-3.002% or 382,800 voters.
Another swing left, virtually halving the difference between the Governmant anf the Opposition. This time around 150,000 voters changed their minds.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
The electoral polling was not all that was done by Essential this week.
From Pollbludger (William Bowe) in the Crikey blog. “Also featured is a very detailed question on Senate reform, in which the legislation was explained to respondents in meticulous detail, producing a result of 53% approval and 16% disapproval. A question on election timing finds 56% wanting the election held later this year versus 23% who want it called early”
It is interesting how the number of polls published has fallen in line with the fall in the popularity of this Government.
Also of interest has been the lack of reaction from the MSM to today’s Essential poll. Possibly our electoral pundits are waiting on instructions of how to spin it. They will definitely not be told to say that Bill Shorten’s strategy is actually working. Probably we shall wake in the morning to some guff about how popular tiny abbott has become and how he will lead the Coalition to an unbelievable victory.
PUBLISHED ON TUESDAY EVENING
TO BE AVAILABLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING
Over to you, the discerning reader.