GNewspoll 21/02, Morgan 22/02, and Essential 23/02 were added.
A total of 11,274 voters were polled.
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Note:- GNewspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.
Two Party Preferred
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,837,800 Votes
ALP 7,162,200 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
-4.504% or 675,600 voters.
Another swing left, this time around 30,000 voters.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
I suggested last week that the numbers would bounce around until a DD was called or a budget handed down. Instead we had a GST increase ruled out and in the confusion, GNewspoll provided a 50/50 2pp. A pity the other polls didn’t go the same way. Morgan stayed where is was and Essential drifted back to 53/48.
I wonder how much of the GNewspoll was driven by Murdoch wanting his pet rabbott back in charge. I guess we will find out nearer to Easter.
I wonder if the Greens and Nick X recognise the trap they have fallen into. By siding with the Coalition in changing Senate voting, they are looking for a short term benefit. In the longer term, we will lose the vibrancy of newer parties. There will be no one able to challenge the current majors. The Libs, ALP, the Greens, the dying Nats and the still one-manned Xenophon Party. This is a very bad move for what remains of democracy in Australia.
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