Two polls Morgan 13/12 and Essential 15/12 were added
(Galaxy/Newspoll is too long so from now on they are “Gnewspoll” as in “Gnomes”)
A total of 8,301 voters were polled.
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 8,111,850 Votes
ALP 6,888,150 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
Another slight swing back to the left of around 20,000 votes but nothing dramatic.
Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
Two very carefully timed polls to end the year. Just ahead of a MYEFO announcement which finally admits a $26 Billion blow-out. Now we, the gullible electorate have a couple of months to get over that shock and we will be schooled by the compliant media to forget just what the Coalition spent several years trumpeting when Wayne Swan was sandbagged by world economic conditions.
His Royal Smugness will tell us in comforting tones that everything is fine and there is no need to panic. After all, there is no GFC now. Just the pesky lack of an Australian manufacturing industry which was destroyed by his predecessor. Can anyone remember his name?
The Morgan Poll leads to a question about just who in the Morgan organisation is close friends with the Turnbull. They ARE the elephant in the room.
The stickiness of the numbers over the past two months are a tribute to the lack of political intelligence in our Nation.
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