Two polls, GNewspoll 23/11, and Essential 24/11 were deleted.
Two polls GNewspoll 7/12 and Essential 8/12 were added
(Galaxy/Newspoll is too long so from now on they are “Gnewspoll” as in “Gnomes”)
A total of 11,788 voters were polled.
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 8,073,900 Votes
ALP 6,926,100 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
Another slight swing back to the left of around 20,000 votes but nothing dramatic.
Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
The drift back to the Left appears to have increased this week. The margin reduced by around a third of a percent. Not enough to win an election but certainly enough to indicate that a surprise may be on the cards. The key thing the media would like us to forget is that we vote for parties, not leaders.
This may be the last round of polls for the year. We shall see.
PUBLISHED ON TUESDAY EVENING
TO BE AVAILABLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING