Three polls, Ipsos 24/10, GNewspoll 26/10 and Essential 27/10 were deleted.
Two polls, GNewspoll 9/11, and Essential 10/11 were added
(Galaxy/Newspoll is too long so from now on they are “Gnewspoll” as in “Gnomes”)
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 8,123,850 Votes
ALP 6,676,150 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
Another swing right, this week of some about 1% or around 150,000 voters changing their mind. I have a feeling that, depending on how Morgan polls next wee, that may swing back substantially!
Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.
That was back when the Greens were just beginning!
The minor parties and the “others” will have a major impact come election day. Here is how they are going.
The Left remains the Left even though it is now in two parts.
Anyway, here is what that addition of ALP + Greens looks like this week.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
No improvement this week. In fact an apparent worsening of the situation.
We need to look for a long slow recovery because, unless PMMT takes off his mask and is revealed as PMTA in disguise there will be no sudden turn-around.
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