Poll Sum; 28th October 2015

pollpic

POLL SUMMARY

poll28h

redblue

header2

poll28a

A total of 13,211 voters were polled.

Two polls, Gnewspoll 12/10and  and Essential 13/10 were deleted.

Three polls, Ipsos 24/10, Gnewspoll 26/10 and Essential 27/10 were added

(Galaxy/Newspoll is too long so from now on they are “Gnewspoll” as in “Gnomes”)

redblue

%ages changed to Raw Numbers

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

poll28b

Note:- GNewspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.

Two Party Preferred poll28c

redblue

Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP 7,974,900 Votes

ALP 7,025,100 Votes

Which leads to – – –

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

poll28d

A difference of

poll28da

-6.332% or

949,800 voters.

A swing right this week of some 0.88% or 65,000 voters changing their mind.  The electorate is being fooled by some silver-tongued words for nothing else has changed!

redblue

PRIMARY VOTE

Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.

That was back when the Greens were just beginning!

poll28e

MINOR PARTIES

The minor parties and the “others” will have a major impact come election day. Here is how they are going.

poll28f

Whenever I see a poll it is my habit to add the ALP and Green votes together.

The Left remains the Left even though it is now in two parts.
Anyway, here is what that addition of ALP + Greens looks like this week.
poll28g

redblue

POLLING SOURCES

For this postipsosessential poll morgan pollgalaxy pollpollreachtel

redblue

POINTS FOR DISCUSSION

1:

On a day when ANOTHER Financial Advisor/Insurance Broker/Moneytype Person was convicted of fraud, we still have no outcry that ALL of this sort of person is a crook.

Unlike in the case of Unions where several of their administrators have been found to have performed badly and so ALL Union Officials are tarred with the same brush, loudly and often!

http://www.abc.net.au/news/2015-10-27/sydney-insurance-broker-timothy-charles-pratten-convicted/6889618

I include this little rant in the Poll Sum because Essential asked a question about Unions this week and here is the result.

poll28m

So after years of denigrating Unions, 61% of the electorate STILL believe they are important.

2:

Yes, the numbers are not good but we still have time to swing things around.

 

redblue

PUBLISHED ON TUESDAY EVENING
TO BE AVAILABLE EARLY WEDNESDAY MORNING

Over to you, the discerning reader.

2 responses to “Poll Sum; 28th October 2015

  1. Wakey, Wakey people! Different mouthpiece — same old retrograde, carpetbagger capitalist policies!

    Liked by 1 person

  2. Why should the people wake up? They are being given Netflix and Stan and so on. Keep them asleep with the bread and circuses while the West burns.

    Like

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s