A total of 13,211 voters were polled.
Two polls, Gnewspoll 12/10and and Essential 13/10 were deleted.
Three polls, Ipsos 24/10, Gnewspoll 26/10 and Essential 27/10 were added
(Galaxy/Newspoll is too long so from now on they are “Gnewspoll” as in “Gnomes”)
%ages changed to Raw Numbers
Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled. Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.
Note:- GNewspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 20-80 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.
Translating this into electoral numbers,
assuming 15 million electors
we have a National Two Party Preferred of
L-NP 7,974,900 Votes
ALP 7,025,100 Votes
Which leads to – – –
THE DIFFERENCE CHART
A difference of
A swing right this week of some 0.88% or 65,000 voters changing their mind. The electorate is being fooled by some silver-tongued words for nothing else has changed!
Once upon a time it was expected that the L-NP primary would be around 45% while the ALP could only win with a Primary beginning with a “4”.
That was back when the Greens were just beginning!
The minor parties and the “others” will have a major impact come election day. Here is how they are going.
Whenever I see a poll it is my habit to add the ALP and Green votes together.
POINTS FOR DISCUSSION
On a day when ANOTHER Financial Advisor/Insurance Broker/Moneytype Person was convicted of fraud, we still have no outcry that ALL of this sort of person is a crook.
Unlike in the case of Unions where several of their administrators have been found to have performed badly and so ALL Union Officials are tarred with the same brush, loudly and often!
I include this little rant in the Poll Sum because Essential asked a question about Unions this week and here is the result.
So after years of denigrating Unions, 61% of the electorate STILL believe they are important.
Yes, the numbers are not good but we still have time to swing things around.
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