Carbon Tax; Rebranded


Tis but thy name that is my enemy;R&J
Thou art thyself, though not a Montague.
What’s Montague? it is nor hand, nor foot,
Nor arm, nor face, nor any other part
Belonging to a man.
O, be some other name!
What’s in a name? that which we call a rose
By any other name would smell as sweet;
So Romeo would, were he not Romeo call’d,

The Bard knew of Australian politics before even Australia was known.

For now we have roaming gangs of Capulets and Montagues fighting in the corridors of Australian power.

These skirmishes are not about the rules, laws or methods but about who gets to take credit for them.

Both gangs want to treat asylum seekers the same way; both gangs want to invade our privacy using “National Security” as an excuse; both gangs support a new war in the Middle East.

Now there are abbott-calls from stage right for the ALP Montagues to join with the Coalition Capulets in a single “Team Ostraya”. I wish him luck!

Yet another similarity between the two gangs has just been exposed.

After spending several years condemning the Rudd/Gillard/Montague “Carbon Tax” as a “wrecking ball” tony abbott has decreed that the Coalition Capulets should introduce their own “Carbon Tax”. Ahh Julia, Julia, wherefore art thou?

Bob Hawke originally introduced the Fuel Excise as a way to reduce the amount of carbon being introduced into the atmosphere. It was indexed so it would increase with the cost of living and so remain effective. John Howard chose to freeze it for short term political gain. Now, after removing the mechanism his Environment Minister once called “The most effective way to reduce pollution” tony abbott is bringing back indexation of the Fuel Tax. Thereby introducing an increasing tax on pollution!

So, after abolishing the tax which was not a tax because it was a wrecking ball, now he is imposing a growing excise which will increase to similar proportions.  But this is not a wrecking ball.

Somehow.

Of course I have been using “Romeo and Juliet” as the base for these thoughts. Which seems appropriate in this abbott-proclaimed era of “Adult Government” for Romeo was about sixteen while Juliet ‘hath not seen the change of fourteen years‘.

For once, and against all I believe in, I am not arguing about an abbott tax. For to misquote the Bard,

“What’s in a name? that which we call a carbon tax
By any other name would reduce CO2″

 

 

 

Poll Sum; 29th Oct


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pollhead29

 

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This past fortnight saw 11,459 people polled

Data as at Tuesday night, 21th October.

midheader

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Polls Included and Totals Polled.

One Poll,  Essential 14/10 was deleted

Two Polls, Reachtel 23/10, Essential 28/10 was added.

Any polls which come out after midnight Sydney/Melbourne time will be included in next week’s charts.

Poll29a

 

Percentages converted back to Raw Numbers

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled.

Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

Poll29b

Note:- Newspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 50-50 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.

Two Party Preferred

Poll29c

Translating this into electoral numbers,

assuming 15 million electors

we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP 7,138,500 Votes

ALP 7,861,500 Votes

Which leads to – – -

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

pollchart29

A difference of 723,000 voters.

a swing of 4,500 voters to the ALP this past week.

MINOR PARTIES

The minor parties and the “others” will have a major impact come election day.

Here is how they are going.

pollchartminors29

POLLING SOURCES

For this post

morgan pollessential pollgalaxy pollNewspoll

 

 

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POINTS FOR DISCUSSION

1:

The slight swing left continues despite all that the Right can do. For the moment those ol’ Budget Blues have Abbott on the slide. Not the slide guitar, the popularity slide!

2:

The Greens have kept their vote at almost 11.5% while PUP Has made a proportionally large jump off a very low base.

3:

The Morgan Poll of State voting intentions out today shows;

Victoria ALP 53-47 (Greens 18.5%)

South Australia ALP 52.5-47.5 (Greens 12.5%)

Tasmania ALP 53-48  (Greens 19%)

Qld ALP 50.5-49.5 (Greens 10%)

NSW L-NP 56-44 (Green 10.5%)

WA  L-NP 53-47 (Greens 15%)

Which is all very interesting until you compare the Greens State votes with the Greens Federal votes! Nearly one in five votes in Tasmania and Victoria seem to be heading towards the Greens while one in nine votes are Green federally. How many seats these state numbers convert to will be a true test of our Democracy.

 

 

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Over to you, the discerning reader.

Greg Hunt; Political Walrus


ORIGINS AND EDUCATION

Gregory Andrew “Greg” Hunt  was born 18 November 1965 in Frankston, Victoria.

He was the only child of Alan Hunt, a solicitor who had been born in South Australia. Alan Hunt was the West Gippsland and the Mornington Peninsula State Upper House member for South-Eastern Province from 1961 until 1992. He served under Bolte, Hamer and Thompson.

Young Greg was educated at the newly founded Anglican day and boarding facility, The Peninsula School. He was a student there at the same time as the Daddo Brothers.

After secondary school he enjoyed a gap year. In 1984, prior to entering university, he spent a year based on a kibbutz in Israel. This included a three-month period spent riding a bicycle around Europe.

He then followed in his father’s footsteps and  graduated from Melbourne Law School with a Bachelor of Laws (First Class Honours), where he won a prize for a final year thesis he co-authored entitled A Tax to Make the Polluter Pay. More of that thesis later. He subsequently studied at Yale University, where he was a Fulbright Scholar and obtained a Master of Arts in International Relations.

While at university, Hunt captained the Australian Universities Debating Team, was runner-up at the World Universities Debating Championships and won the Edinburgh International Debating Tournament. He also worked casually as a steelworker, fruit picker, waiter and storeman and packer.

 

WORKING LIFE

  • 1991 He began his professional life as an articled clerk with Mallesons Stephen Jaques
  • 1992 He became Associate to the Chief Justice of the Australian Federal Court, Michael Black.
  • 1994/95 Senior adviser to Alexander Downer, Leader of the Opposition.
  • 1995/98 Senior adviser to Alexander Downer, Minister for Foreign Affairs
  • 1999/2001 Worked for American global management consulting firm. McKinsey & Company. He left before the scandals struck.
  • 2000/01 Director of Strategy at the World Economic Forum in Geneva. (Probably as the McKinsey representative.)

PRIVATE LIFE

hunt3Greg Hunt’s Electoral page reveals he is married to Paula Lindsey, a surgical nurse. They reside at Mt Martha on the Mornington Peninsula and have two young children: Poppy born in 2005 and James born in 2009.

In 2011 Greg Hunt said, in a speech to the Australian Davos Connection For many years I did not understand my wife. This was not her fault!  I do not like cooking. I am not good at it. I do not understand it. I do not get it.   Indeed, as a bachelor my lavish late night repast was generally muesli or chilled oranges. Marriage, however, introduced me to Paula’s cooking. Paula is the daughter of Elsa, who is an ordained Cordon Bleu. Between the two of them they create meals of both complex and simple genius.

He is a keen sportsman and has competed in seven marathons as well as numerous local events such as the Arthurs Seat Challenge fun run, the San Remo Channel Challenge run and swim and the Dromana Life Saving Club swim.

As the Member for Flinders, Greg has completed three 500km walks around his electorate – in 2004, 2007 and 2011 – to raise funds for Juvenile Diabetes and Autism Spectrum Disorder.

In March, 2012, News Ltd reported that,THE wife of Victorian Liberal frontbencher Greg Hunt traded shares in major mining companies as her husband fought against the mining tax.  Paula Hunt – whose husband is the Opposition’s climate change spokesman and MP for Flinders – bought and sold shares in Rio Tinto, Tiger Resources and Fortescue Metals Group. She also bought and sold gold exchanged traded funds.”

In March 2014 he tweeted,

 

POLITICS

  • November 2001 Hunt was elected as the Federal Member for Flinders in Howard’s third successful Election. He followed Sir Philip Lynch and Peter Reith in this seat. Bob Chynoweth took the seat from Reith in 1983 for the first term of the Hawke Government.
  • October 2004 he became Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Environment and Heritage
  • January 2007  appointed Parliamentary Secretary to the Minister for Foreign Affairs.

    He was NOT talking about tony abbott

    He was NOT talking about tony abbott

  •  November 2007 After the Federal election, won by Rudd, Greg was appointed Shadow Minister for Climate Change, Environment and Urban Water, a role that brought together the great interests of his time in Parliament.
  • September 2008 his role was expanded to include all water responsibilities.
  • December 2009 Greg’s role was expanded once more when he was appointed Shadow Minister for Climate Action, Environment and Heritage.
  • September 2013 After the  Federal election Greg became Minister for the Environment, with responsibility for climate, environment, heritage and water.

With exactly the same responsibilities, after five years and under four leaders; Hunt could be seen as being typecast.

 

THAT THESIS

In 1990 Hunt co-authored a university thesis. His co-author was Rufus Black, the son of the Chief Justice of the Federal Court of Australia whose Associate Hunt became in 1992. Rufus Black also went on to work with American global management consulting firm, McKinsey & Company. Black is now the Master of Ormond College at the University of Melbourne and co-led the Independent Review of the Australian Intelligence Community at least until 2013.

Peter Martin, Economics Editor, The Age, found the thesis and published it on his blog.

The title was “A Tax to Make the Polluter Pay; The Application of Pollution Taxes within the Australian Legal System.”

It began,

Huntpdf

The conclusion was,

Huntpdf2

Now, the pollution in question in the context of the thesis was that of dioxins and heavy metals. It would seem that Mr Hunt has chosen to see carbon dioxide as different from other pollutants.  Of course, it is always possible that Hunt has become a climate denialist. Should he have done so then it obviously would have nothing whatsoever to do with wanting to keep his job. Would it?

*****Should anyone be able to send me a “.doc” or a “.txt” version of this PDF file, it would be appreciated.

THE GAFFES

TASMANIAN TIGER

In September 2012, Greg Hunt decided to save the last Tasmanian Tigers.

Mr Hunt, the Opposition’s environment spokesman sent a letter to Mr Burke’s office raising residents’ concern about mining in the Tarkine in Tasmania. Mr Hunt said he had received a deluge of letters from residents worried about the impact mining would have on the last Tasmanian tigers.

All the letters refer to the health and wellbeing of the last healthy Tasmanian tigers in the region,” he wrote. “Can you advise the steps the government is taking to ensure a fair and reasonable balance is being struck between industry and the environment?

WIKIPEDIA

Poppy Hunt explaing to her father that Wikipedia is not a great source for authorative information.

Poppy Hunt explaing to her father that Wikipedia is not a great source for authorative information.

In October 2013, while being interviewed by the BBC, Hunt referred to research that he had conducted using Wikipedia to contradict Christiana Figueres, executive secretary of the United Nations Framework Convention on Climate Change, in regards to the relationship between climate change and bushfires. He said:

“Australia has since European settlement and obviously well before that, had a history of recurrent bushfires. I looked up what Wikipedia says, for example, just to see what the rest of the world thought, and it opens up with the fact that bushfires in Australia are frequently occurring events during the hotter months of the year. Large areas of land are ravaged every year by bushfires. That’s the Australian experience.”

The ENDANGERED ANTARCTICA WALRUS

On 11 Oct 2014, in a submission to the 20-year Antarctic Strategic Plan, the Environment Department raised the idea of the Antarctic Division broadening its funding base by looking at sources of revenue such as commercial, philanthropic and crowd-sourced funding.

Mr Hunt said that would be a supplement to government funding. “Whether it’s in relation to the walrus population, whether it’s in relation to penguins, you can have iconic species which can attract community interest,” he said.

At least he did not confuse Polar Bears with Leopard Seals.

 

MY CONCLUSIONS

huntwalrus3

From being a rising hopeful in the Coalition ranks Greg Hunt has stagnated into a bog-standard middle-of-the-road Cabinet Minister. His ambitions for higher office seem have died with the destruction of the Environment and the belittling of Climate Change by his Neanderthal leader. It is certain that his other abilities, those in the field of Foreign Affairs, have been forever squashed by the Member for Curtin.

He is very hard to take seriously now.

Could it be that he is as beached as one of those over-blubbered mammals who spend their time lounging on the shore and fighting with their fellows for prestige.

You know the ones I mean. Odobenus rosmarus. The Walrus.

the time has come

 

 

 

He Was Gough, Not God


Friends, Romans, countrymen, lend me your ears;
I come to bury Caesar, not to praise him.
The evil that men do lives after them;
The good is oft interred with their bones;

Gough Whitlam has died. Ending a life of service to his nation.

Now the pygmies come out of the woodwork to denigrate and destroy. It began in the condolence motion in the House of representatives within hours of Gough’s death.

They gather to bury Caesar, not to praise him.Gough1

The Oedipal Christopher Pyne could not refrain from gloating at the death of a man as far above him in ability as Mount Everest is above an ant hill. “My mother was crying out of joy when Whitlam government was sacked.” he said in what was supposed to be a condolence speech.

It is yet to be seen just what place Gough will have in Pyne’s Australian History Curriculum. Will his good be interred with his bones?

This morning I read how the incompetent Colin Barnett has reacted. “While he changed Australia’s thinking and modernised Australia, Gough Whitlam should not be remembered as “a great prime minister“.

The noble Brutus
Hath told you Caesar was ambitious:
If it were so, it was a grievous fault,
And grievously hath Caesar answer’d it.

Even those on the Left have come out with their criticisms.

Yes he changed Australia but he was from the Victorian Right Wing of the ALP and so was not a true Socialist. Yet without that move to the right by the ALP the Liberals would have stayed in power for another 30 years. Australia had changed. The working man, the Unionist was a fading force in Australian politics. The ALP had to change and Gough led that change. It gave the ALP an additional 30 years of life.

Gough led the changes in Australia’s psyche which allowed us to stop cringing. He allowed us to raise our head and look the world in the eye.

He hath brought many captives home to Rome
Whose ransoms did the general coffers fill:
Did this in Caesar seem ambitious?
When that the poor have cried, Caesar hath wept:
Ambition should be made of sterner stuff:

Gough created an Australia which was a better place for the average man.

Gough created Medicare, Free University courses, the end of Conscription and removed sales tax from the Pill. He made many many other changes and improvements to the Australian way of life. Even Malcolm Turnbull has said, “What people remember of Gough Whitlam is a bigness, a generosity, an enormous optimism and ambition for Australia.”

Yet the Left will never forgive Gough for his betrayal of East Timor. And rightly so. It was a grievous fault and deserving of condemnation.

Gough was not a great organiser of a Government. Due to a number of events, not all of his, or even Australia’s making, his Government descended into chaos.

Yes, Gough was, as you are and I am, a flawed human being.

For the only person who has never made a mistake is the man who has done nothing.

I will be remembering all that Gough Whitlam did. The good, the bad and the inspired.

The Human Gough of reality, not the Divine Gough of myth.

O judgment! thou art fled to brutish beasts,
And men have lost their reason.
Bear with me; My heart is in the coffin there with Caesar,
And I must pause till it come back to me.

Poll Sum; 21st Oct


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This past fortnight saw 7898 people polled

Data as at Tuesday night, 21th October.

midheader

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Polls Included and Totals Polled.

Three Polls,  Galaxy 2/10, Morgan 6/10, Essential 7/10 were deleted

Three Polls, Morgan 20/10, Newspoll 20/10, Essential 21/10 was added.

Any polls which come out after midnight Sydney/Melbourne time will be included in next week’s charts.

Poll22a

 

Percentages converted back to Raw Numbers

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled.

Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

Poll22b

Note:- Newspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 50-50 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.

Two Party Preferred

Poll22c

Translating this into electoral numbers,

assuming 15 million electors

we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP 7,143,000 Votes

ALP 7,857,000 Votes

Which leads to – – -

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

pollchart22

A difference of 714,000 voters.

a swing of 39,000 voters to the ALP

MINOR PARTIES

The two biggest minor parties will have a major impact come election day.

Here is how they are going.

pollchartminors22

POLLING SOURCES

For this post

morgan poll essential poll Newspoll

 

 

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POINTS FOR DISCUSSION

1:

For this week at least, the swing has begun to move back towards the Left. Just 39,000 voters but it is a start. I expect to see a concerted MSM push to get that swing moving the “Right” way.

2:

The Greens have lifted their vote to almost 11.5% while PUP hits yet another low! PUP is now below 3.5% and continues to lose relevance everywhere except in the Senate!.

3:

Iraq-war #3 and shirt-fronting visiting National Leaders have done nothing to improve tony abbott’s popularity or the popularity of his Government.

 

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Over to you, the discerning reader.

The AFP Is Now God!


George RobertsBE TERRIFIED, IT IS PATRIOTIC!

If you thought the reach of the AFP was limited to Australia, think again.

They apparently now have jurisdiction outside of Australia. In a country we solemnly promised not to invade!

This Twitter Stream from George Roberts, the ABC’s Indonesian Correspondent, shows that no matter where you are, you are subject to AFP bullying!

I can remember when we Australians were proud to live in a country where our leaders could walk freely among their fellow Australians. Talk with the average guy. Interact with them. Not, as in other countries, living behind a bubble of paranoid security.

That Australia, along with the “Fair Go” and our “Mateship” has now been destroyed by this Government who know what they are doing and are terrified of the consequences!

THE GEORGE ROBERTS’ TWEET STREAM.

In reply to another tweeter, George Roberts tweeted:-

Poll Sum; 15th Oct


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This past fortnight saw 7948 people polled

Data as at Tuesday night, 14th October.

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Polls Included and Totals Polled.

One Poll  Essential 30/09 was deleted

One poll, Essential 14/10 was added.

Any polls which come out after midnight Sydney/Melbourne time will be included in next week’s charts.

Poll15a

 

Percentages converted back to Raw Numbers

Simple maths convert the published % to raw numbers using the electors polled.

Liberal and National Party numbers are combined.

Poll15b

Note:- Newspoll lumps PUP voters with “Others”. I split them out at as near to 50-50 as I can with whole numbers. That seems to be how the numbers for other polls fall.

Two Party Preferred

Poll15c

Translating this into electoral numbers,

assuming 15 million electors

we have a National Two Party Preferred of

L-NP 7,162,500 Votes

ALP 7,837,500 Votes

Which leads to – – -

THE DIFFERENCE CHART

pollchart15

A difference of 675,000 voters.

Exactly the same as last week

MINOR PARTIES

The two biggest minor parties will have a major impact come election day.

Here is how they are going.

pollchartminors15

POLLING SOURCES

For this post

morgan poll essential poll galaxy poll

 

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POINTS FOR DISCUSSION

1:

The swing, which had been slowing, has stopped for this week at least. This is despite the war, despite Bill Shorten’s apparent lack of action. Could it be that tony abbott is imploding? Remember this poll was taken before the bizarre “shirtfront” statement. It will be interesting to see what effect that has on the abbott polling next week.

2:

The Greens continues to poll above 11% while the PUP vote has now declined to nearly 3.5%. This is around the National Party vote.

 

 

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Over to you, the discerning reader.

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